Using electronic health records to enhance surveillance of diabetes in children, adolescents and young adults: a study protocol for the DiCAYA Network.

INTRODUCTION: Traditional survey-based surveillance is costly, limited in its ability to distinguish diabetes types and time-consuming, resulting in reporting delays. The Diabetes in Children, Adolescents and Young Adults (DiCAYA) Network seeks to advance diabetes surveillance efforts in youth and young adults through the use of large-volume electronic health record (EHR) data. The network has two primary aims, namely: (1) to refine and validate EHR-based computable phenotype algorithms for accurate identification of type 1 and type 2 diabetes among youth and young adults and (2) to estimate the incidence and prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes among youth and young adults and trends therein. The network aims to augment diabetes surveillance capacity in the USA and assess performance of EHR-based surveillance. This paper describes the DiCAYA Network and how these aims will be achieved. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The DiCAYA Network is spread across eight geographically diverse US-based centres and a coordinating centre. Three centres conduct diabetes surveillance in youth aged 0-17 years only (component A), three centres conduct surveillance in young adults aged 18-44 years only (component B) and two centres conduct surveillance in components A and B. The network will assess the validity of computable phenotype definitions to determine diabetes status and type based on sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the phenotypes against the gold standard of manually abstracted medical charts. Prevalence and incidence rates will be presented as unadjusted estimates and as race/ethnicity, sex and age-adjusted estimates using Poisson regression. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The DiCAYA Network is well positioned to advance diabetes surveillance methods. The network will disseminate EHR-based surveillance methodology that can be broadly adopted and will report diabetes prevalence and incidence for key demographic subgroups of youth and young adults in a large set of regions across the USA.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Medical Expenditures Among Medicare Fee-for-Service Beneficiaries Aged ≥67 Years With Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To compare total and out-of-pocket (OOP) medical expenditures between pre-COVID-19 (March 2019 to February 2020) and COVID-19 (March 2020 to February 2022) periods among Medicare beneficiaries with diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Data were from 100% Medicare fee-for-service claims. Diabetes was identified using ICD-10 codes. We calculated quarterly total and OOP medical expenditures at the population and per capita level in total and by service type. Per capita expenditures were calculated by dividing the population expenditure by the number of beneficiaries with diabetes in the same quarter. Changes in expenditures were calculated as the differences in the same quarters between the prepandemic and pandemic years. RESULTS: Population total expenditure fell to $33.6 billion in the 1st quarter of the pandemic from $41.7 billion in the same prepandemic quarter; it then bounced back to $36.8 billion by the 4th quarter of the 2nd pandemic year. The per capita total expenditure fell to $5,356 in the 1st quarter of the pandemic from $6,500 in the same prepandemic quarter. It then increased to $6,096 by the 4th quarter of the 2nd pandemic year, surpassing the same quarter in the prepandemic year ($5,982). Both population and per capita OOP expenditures during the pandemic period were lower than the prepandemic period. Changes in per capita expenditure between the pre-COVID-19 and COVID-19 periods by service type varied. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 had a significant impact on both total and per capita medical expenditures among Medicare beneficiaries with diabetes. The COVID-19 pandemic was associated with lower OOP expenditures.

Examination of Prediabetes and Diabetes Testing Among US Pediatric Patients With Overweight or Obesity Using an Electronic Health Record.

Background: Youth with excess weight are at risk of developing type 2 diabetes (T2DM). Guidelines recommend screening for prediabetes and/or T2DM after 10 years of age or after puberty in youth with excess weight who have ≥1 risk factor(s) for T2DM. Electronic health records (EHRs) offer an opportunity to study the use of tests to detect diabetes in youth. Methods: We examined the frequency of (1) diabetes testing and (2) elevated test results among youth aged 10-19 years with at least one BMI measurement in an EHR from 2019 to 2021. We examined the presence of hemoglobin A1C (A1C), fasting plasma glucose (FPG), or oral glucose tolerance test (2-hour plasma glucose [2-hrPG]) results and, among those tested, the frequency of elevated values (A1C ≥6.5%, FPG ≥126 mg/dL, or 2-hrPG ≥200 mg/dL). Patients with pre-existing diabetes (n = 6793) were excluded. Results: Among 1,024,743 patients, 17% had overweight, 21% had obesity, including 8% with severe obesity. Among patients with excess weight, 10% had ≥1 glucose test result. Among those tested, elevated values were more common in patients with severe obesity (27%) and obesity (22%) than in those with healthy weight (8%), and among Black youth (30%) than White youth (13%). Among patients with excess weight, >80% of elevated values fell in the prediabetes range. Conclusions: In youth with excess weight, the use of laboratory tests for prediabetes and T2DM was infrequent. Among youth with test results, elevated FPG, 2hrPG, or A1C levels were most common in those with severe obesity and Black youth.

Household Food Security Status and Allostatic Load among United States Adults: National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2015-2020.

BACKGROUND: Household food insecurity has been linked to adverse health outcomes, but the pathways driving these associations are not well understood. The stress experienced by those in food-insecure households and having to prioritize between food and other essential needs could lead to physiologic dysregulations [i.e., allostatic load (AL)] and, as a result, adversely impact their health. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between household food security status and AL and differences by gender, race and ethnicity, and Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) participation. METHODS: We used data from 7640 United States adults in the 2015-2016 and 2017-March 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey to estimate means and prevalence ratios (PR) for AL scores (based on cardiovascular, metabolic, and immune biomarkers) associated with self-reported household food security status from multivariable linear and logistic regression models. RESULTS: Adults in marginally food-secure [mean = 3.09, standard error (SE) = 0.10] and food-insecure households (mean = 3.05; SE = 0.08) had higher mean AL than those in food-secure households (mean = 2.70; SE = 0.05). Compared with adults in food-secure households in the same category, those more likely to have an elevated AL included: SNAP participants [PR = 1.12; 95% confidence interval (CI):  1.03, 1.22] and Hispanic women (PR = 1.20; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.37) in marginally food-secure households; and non-Hispanic Black women (PR = 1.14; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.26), men (PR = 1.13; 95% CI: 1.02, 1.26), and non-SNAP non-Hispanic White adults (PR = 1.22; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.39) in food-insecure households. CONCLUSIONS: AL may be one pathway by which household food insecurity affects health and may vary by gender, race and ethnicity, and SNAP participation.

Prevalence of Testing for Diabetes Among US Adults With Overweight or Obesity, 2016-2019.

Introduction: Screening for prediabetes and type 2 diabetes may allow earlier detection, diagnosis, and treatment. The US Preventive Services Task Force recommends screening every 3 years for abnormal blood glucose among adults aged 40 to 70 years with overweight or obesity. Using IQVIA Ambulatory Electronic Medical Records, we estimated the proportion of adults aged 40 to 70 years with overweight or obesity who received blood glucose testing within 3 years from baseline in 2016. Methods: We identified 1,338,509 adults aged 40 to 70 years with overweight or obesity in 2016 and without pre-existing diabetes. We included adults whose records were present in the data set for at least 2 years before their index body mass index (BMI) in 2016 and 3 years after the index BMI (2017-2019), during which we examined the occurrence of blood glucose testing. We calculated the unadjusted and adjusted prevalence of receiving blood glucose testing. Results: The unadjusted prevalence of receiving blood glucose testing was 33.4% when it was defined as having a hemoglobin A1c or fasting plasma glucose measure. The unadjusted prevalence was 74.3% when we expanded the definition of testing to include random plasma glucose and unspecified glucose measures. Adults with obesity were more likely to receive the test than those with overweight. Men (vs women) and adults aged 50 to 59 years (vs other age groups) had higher testing rates. Conclusion: Our findings could inform clinical and public health promotion efforts to improve screening for blood glucose levels among adults with overweight or obesity.

Health Care Transition to Adult Care in Type 1 Diabetes: Associations With Student and Employment Status-The SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study.

Successful transition from a pediatric to adult diabetes care provider is associated with reduced ambulatory diabetes care visits and increased acute complications. This study aimed to determine whether the degree of independence in diabetes care and the rate of acute complications after transition to adult diabetes care were associated with individuals' student or employment status. Nonstudents were found to be less likely than students to be independent with diabetes care, and employed nonstudents were at lower risk of diabetic ketoacidosis than unemployed nonstudents. Additional support may be needed for young adults who are not students or are unemployed to improve independence and reduce the risk for acute complications.

Clinical performance and health equity implications of the American Diabetes Association's 2023 screening recommendation for prediabetes and diabetes.

Introduction: The American Diabetes Association (ADA) recommends screening for prediabetes and diabetes (dysglycemia) starting at age 35, or younger than 35 years among adults with overweight or obesity and other risk factors. Diabetes risk differs by sex, race, and ethnicity, but performance of the recommendation in these sociodemographic subgroups is unknown. Methods: Nationally representative data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (2015-March 2020) were analyzed from 5,287 nonpregnant US adults without diagnosed diabetes. Screening eligibility was based on age, measured body mass index, and the presence of diabetes risk factors. Dysglycemia was defined by fasting plasma glucose ≥100mg/dL (≥5.6 mmol/L) or haemoglobin A1c ≥5.7% (≥39mmol/mol). The sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of the ADA screening criteria were examined by sex, race, and ethnicity. Results: An estimated 83.1% (95% CI=81.2-84.7) of US adults were eligible for screening according to the 2023 ADA recommendation. Overall, ADA's screening criteria exhibited high sensitivity [95.0% (95% CI=92.7-96.6)] and low specificity [27.1% (95% CI=24.5-29.9)], which did not differ by race or ethnicity. Sensitivity was higher among women [97.8% (95% CI=96.6-98.6)] than men [92.4% (95% CI=88.3-95.1)]. Racial and ethnic differences in sensitivity and specificity among men were statistically significant (P=0.04 and P=0.02, respectively). Among women, guideline performance did not differ by race and ethnicity. Discussion: The ADA screening criteria exhibited high sensitivity for all groups and was marginally higher in women than men. Racial and ethnic differences in guideline performance among men were small and unlikely to have a significant impact on health equity. Future research could examine adoption of this recommendation in practice and examine its effects on treatment and clinical outcomes by sex, race, and ethnicity.

Diabetes Prevalence and Incidence Inequality Trends Among U.S. Adults, 2008-2021.

INTRODUCTION: This study examined national trends in age, sex, racial and ethnic, and socioeconomic inequalities for diagnosed diabetes prevalence and incidence among U.S. adults from 2008 to 2021. METHODS: Adults (aged ≥18 years) were from the National Health Interview Survey (2008-2021). The annual between-group variance (BGV) for sex, race, and ethnicity; and the slope index of inequality (SII) for age, education, and poverty-to-income ratio along with the average annual percentage change (AAPC) were estimated in 2023 to assess trends in inequalities over time in diabetes prevalence and incidence. For BGV and SII, a value of 0 represents no inequality, whereas a value further from 0 represents greater inequality. RESULTS: On average over time, poverty-to-income ratio inequalities in diabetes prevalence worsened (SII= -8.24 in 2008 and -9.80 in 2021; AAPC for SII= -1.90%, p=0.003), whereas inequalities in incidence for age (SII=17.60 in 2008 and 8.85 in 2021; AAPC for SII= -6.47%, p<0.001), sex (BGV=0.09 in 2008, 2.05 in 2009, 1.24 in 2010, and 0.27 in 2021; AAPC for BGV= -12.34%, p=0.002), racial and ethnic (BGV=4.80 in 2008 and 2.17 in 2021; AAPC for BGV= -10.59%, p=0.010), and education (SII= -9.89 in 2008 and -2.20 in 2021; AAPC for SII=8.27%, p=0.001) groups improved. CONCLUSIONS: From 2008 to 2021, age, sex, racial and ethnic, and education inequalities in the incidence of diagnosed diabetes improved but persisted. Income-related diabetes prevalence inequalities worsened over time. To close these gaps, future research could focus on identifying the factors driving these trends, including the contribution of morbidity and mortality.

Changes in health care utilization among Medicare beneficiaries with diabetes two years into the COVID-19 pandemic.

IMPORTANCE: The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic abruptly impacted health care service delivery and utilization. However, the impact on older adults with diabetes in the United States is unclear. OBJECTIVE: To estimate changes in health care utilization among older adults with diabetes during the initial 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the 2 years before, and to examine the variation in utilization changes by demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. DESIGN SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: In this study, we analyzed changes in utilization, measured by the average use of health care services per 1,000 persons with diabetes, using medical claims for Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries aged 67 years and above. Utilization changes by setting (acute inpatient, emergency room [ER], hospital outpatient, physician office, and ambulatory surgery center [ASC]) and by media (telehealth and in-person) were examined for 22 months of the pandemic (03/2020-12/2021) compared with pre-pandemic period (03/2018-12/2019). We also estimated utilization changes by beneficiaries' age group, sex, race/ethnicity, and residential urbanicity. RESULTS: The study sample consisted of approximately 6 million beneficiaries with diabetes each month. In the first 2 years of the pandemic, the average use of health care services by setting was 5-17% lower than the pre-pandemic level for all types of services. Phase 1 (03/2020-05/2020) had the largest decrease in utilization: physician office visits changed by -51.2% (95% CI, -55.0% to -47.5%), ASC procedures by -45.1% (95% CI, -49.8% to -40.4%), ER visits by -36.9% (95% CI, -39.0% to -34.7%), acute inpatient stays by -31.5% (95% CI, -33.6% to -29.3%), and hospital outpatient visits by -27% (95% CI, -29.3% to -24.8%). The reduction in utilization varied by sociodemographic subgroup. During the pandemic, the use of telehealth visits increased by 511.1% (95% CI, 502.2% to 520.0%) compared to the pre-pandemic period. The increase was smaller among rural residents. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Medicare beneficiaries with diabetes experienced a reduction in the use of health care services during the COVID-19 pandemic, some of which persisted through two years into the pandemic. Telehealth visits increased, but not enough to overcome decreases in in-person visits. Understanding these patterns may help to optimize the use of health care resources for diabetes management in the post-pandemic era and during future emergencies.

Risk of Cardiovascular Disease After COVID-19 Diagnosis Among Adults With and Without Diabetes.

Background Growing evidence suggests incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) may be a long-term outcome of COVID-19 infection, and chronic diseases, such as diabetes, may influence CVD risk associated with COVID-19. We evaluated the postacute risk of CVD >30 days after a COVID-19 diagnosis by diabetes status. Methods and Results We included adults ≥20 years old with a COVID-19 diagnosis from March 1, 2020 through December 31, 2021 in a retrospective cohort study from the IQVIA PharMetrics Plus insurance claims database. A contemporaneous control group comprised adults without recorded diagnoses for COVID-19 or other acute respiratory infections. Two historical control groups comprised patients with or without an acute respiratory infection. Cardiovascular outcomes included cerebrovascular disorders, dysrhythmia, inflammatory heart disease, ischemic heart disease, thrombotic disorders, other cardiac disorders, major adverse cardiovascular events, and any CVD. The total sample comprised 23 824 095 adults (mean age, 48.4 years [SD, 15.7 years]; 51.9% women; mean follow-up, 8.5 months [SD, 5.8 months]). In multivariable Cox regression models, patients with a COVID-19 diagnosis had a significantly greater risk of all cardiovascular outcomes compared with patients without a diagnosis of COVID-19 (hazard ratio [HR], 1.66 [1.62-1.71], with diabetes; HR, 1.75 [1.73-1.78], without diabetes). Risk was attenuated but still significant for the majority of outcomes when comparing patients with COVID-19 to both historical control groups. Conclusions In patients with COVID-19 infection, postacute risk of incident cardiovascular outcomes is significantly higher than among controls without COVID-19, regardless of diabetes status. Therefore, monitoring for incident CVD may be essential beyond the first 30 days after a COVID-19 diagnosis.

Screening for Prediabetes and Diabetes: Clinical Performance and Implications for Health Equity.

INTRODUCTION: In 2021, the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommended prediabetes and diabetes screening for asymptomatic adults aged 35-70 years with overweight/obesity, lowering the age from 40 years in its 2015 recommendation. The USPSTF suggested considering earlier screening in racial and ethnic groups with high diabetes risk at younger ages or lower BMI. This study examined the clinical performance of these USPSTF screening recommendations as well as alternative age and BMI cutoffs in the U.S. adult population overall, and separately by race and ethnicity. METHODS: Nationally representative data were collected from 3,243 nonpregnant adults without diagnosed diabetes in January 2017-March 2020 and analyzed from 2021 to 2022. Screening eligibility was based on age and measured BMI. Collectively, prediabetes and undiagnosed diabetes were defined by fasting plasma glucose ≥100 mg/dL or hemoglobin A1c ≥5.7%. The sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of alternate screening criteria were examined overall, and by race and ethnicity. RESULTS: The 2021 criteria exhibited marginally higher sensitivity (58.6%, 95% CI=55.5, 61.6 vs 52.9%, 95% CI=49.7, 56.0) and lower specificity (69.3%, 95% CI=65.7, 72.2 vs 76.4%, 95% CI=73.3, 79.2) than the 2015 criteria overall, and within each racial and ethnic group. Screening at lower age and BMI thresholds resulted in even greater sensitivity and lower specificity, especially among Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and Asian adults. Screening all adults aged 35-70 years regardless of BMI yielded the most equitable performance across all racial and ethnic groups. CONCLUSIONS: The 2021 USPSTF screening criteria will identify more adults with prediabetes and diabetes in all racial and ethnic groups than the 2015 criteria. Screening all adults aged 35-70 years exhibited even higher sensitivity and performed most similarly by race and ethnicity, which may further improve early detection of prediabetes and diabetes in diverse populations.

Income-related inequalities in diagnosed diabetes prevalence among US adults, 2001-2018.

AIMS: The overall prevalence of diabetes has increased over the past two decades in the United States, disproportionately affecting low-income populations. We aimed to examine the trends in income-related inequalities in diabetes prevalence and to identify the contributions of determining factors. METHODS: We estimated income-related inequalities in diagnosed diabetes during 2001-2018 among US adults aged 18 years or older using data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS). The concentration index was used to measure income-related inequalities in diabetes and was decomposed into contributing factors. We then examined temporal changes in diabetes inequality and contributors to those changes over time. RESULTS: Results showed that income-related inequalities in diabetes, unfavorable to low-income groups, persisted throughout the study period. The income-related inequalities in diabetes decreased during 2001-2011 and then increased during 2011-2018. Decomposition analysis revealed that income, obesity, physical activity levels, and race/ethnicity were important contributors to inequalities in diabetes at almost all time points. Moreover, changes regarding age and income were identified as the main factors explaining changes in diabetes inequalities over time. CONCLUSIONS: Diabetes was more prevalent in low-income populations. Our study contributes to understanding income-related diabetes inequalities and could help facilitate program development to prevent type 2 diabetes and address modifiable factors to reduce diabetes inequalities.

Mediation of an association between neighborhood socioeconomic environment and type 2 diabetes through the leisure-time physical activity environment in an analysis of three independent samples.

INTRODUCTION: Inequitable access to leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) resources may explain geographic disparities in type 2 diabetes (T2D). We evaluated whether the neighborhood socioeconomic environment (NSEE) affects T2D through the LTPA environment. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted analyses in three study samples: the national Veterans Administration Diabetes Risk (VADR) cohort comprising electronic health records (EHR) of 4.1 million T2D-free veterans, the national prospective cohort REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) (11 208 T2D free), and a case-control study of Geisinger EHR in Pennsylvania (15 888 T2D cases). New-onset T2D was defined using diagnoses, laboratory and medication data. We harmonized neighborhood-level variables, including exposure, confounders, and effect modifiers. We measured NSEE with a summary index of six census tract indicators. The LTPA environment was measured by physical activity (PA) facility (gyms and other commercial facilities) density within street network buffers and population-weighted distance to parks. We estimated natural direct and indirect effects for each mediator stratified by community type. RESULTS: The magnitudes of the indirect effects were generally small, and the direction of the indirect effects differed by community type and study sample. The most consistent findings were for mediation via PA facility density in rural communities, where we observed positive indirect effects (differences in T2D incidence rates (95% CI) comparing the highest versus lowest quartiles of NSEE, multiplied by 100) of 1.53 (0.25, 3.05) in REGARDS and 0.0066 (0.0038, 0.0099) in VADR. No mediation was evident in Geisinger. CONCLUSIONS: PA facility density and distance to parks did not substantially mediate the relation between NSEE and T2D. Our heterogeneous results suggest that approaches to reduce T2D through changes to the LTPA environment require local tailoring.

Trends in incidence of youth-onset type 1 and type 2 diabetes in the USA, 2002-18: results from the population-based SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of diabetes is increasing in children and young people. We aimed to describe the incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in children and young people aged younger than 20 years over a 17-year period. METHODS: The SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study identified children and young people aged 0-19 years with a physician diagnosis of type 1 or type 2 diabetes at five centres in the USA between 2002 and 2018. Eligible participants included non-military and non-institutionalised individuals who resided in one of the study areas at the time of diagnosis. The number of children and young people at risk of diabetes was obtained from the census or health plan member counts. Generalised autoregressive moving average models were used to examine trends, and data are presented as incidence of type 1 diabetes per 100 000 children and young people younger than 20 years and incidence of type 2 diabetes per 100 000 children and young people aged between 10 years and younger than 20 years across categories of age, sex, race or ethnicity, geographical region, and month or season of diagnosis. FINDINGS: We identified 18 169 children and young people aged 0-19 years with type 1 diabetes in 85 million person-years and 5293 children and young people aged 10-19 years with type 2 diabetes in 44 million person-years. In 2017-18, the annual incidence of type 1 diabetes was 22·2 per 100 000 and that of type 2 diabetes was 17·9 per 100 000. The model for trend captured both a linear effect and a moving-average effect, with a significant increasing (annual) linear effect for both type 1 diabetes (2·02% [95% CI 1·54-2·49]) and type 2 diabetes (5·31% [4·46-6·17]). Children and young people from racial and ethnic minority groups such as non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic children and young people had greater increases in incidence for both types of diabetes. Peak age at diagnosis was 10 years (95% CI 8-11) for type 1 diabetes and 16 years (16-17) for type 2 diabetes. Season was significant for type 1 diabetes (p=0·0062) and type 2 diabetes (p=0·0006), with a January peak in diagnoses of type 1 diabetes and an August peak in diagnoses of type 2 diabetes. INTERPRETATION: The increasing incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in children and young people in the USA will result in an expanding population of young adults at risk of developing early complications of diabetes whose health-care needs will exceed those of their peers. Findings regarding age and season of diagnosis will inform focused prevention efforts. FUNDING: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and US National Institutes of Health.

Impact of changes in diabetes screening guidelines on testing eligibility and potential yield among adults without diagnosed diabetes in the United States.

AIMS: Recent USPSTF and ADA guidelines expanded criteria of whom to test to identify prediabetes and diabetes. We described which Americans are eligible and report receiving glucose testing by USPSTF 2015 and 2021 as well as ADA 2003 and 2022 recommendations, and performance of each guideline. METHODS: We analyzed cross-sectional data from 6,007 non-pregnant U.S. adults without diagnosed diabetes in the 2013-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys. We reported proportions of adults who met each guideline's criteria for glucose testing and reported receiving glucose testing in the past three years, overall and by key population subgroups,. Defining prediabetes (FPG 100-125 mg/dL and/or HbA1c 5.7-6.4 %) or previously undiagnosed diabetes (FPG ≥ 126 mg/dL and/or HbA1c ≥ 6.5 %), we assessed sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: During 2013-2018, 76.7 million, 90.4 million, 157.7 million, and 169.5 million US adults met eligibility for glucose testing by USPSTF 2015, 2021, and ADA 2003 and 2022 guidelines, respectively. On average, 52 % of adults reported receiving glucose testing within the past 3 years. Likelihood of receiving glucose testing was lower among younger adults, men, Hispanic adults, those with less than high school completion, those living in poverty, and those without health insurance or a usual place of care than their respective counterparts. ADA recommendations were most sensitive (range: 91.0 % to 100.0 %) and least specific (range: 18.3 % to 35.3 %); USPSTF recommendations exhibited lower sensitivity (51.9 % to 66.6 %), but higher specificity (56.6 % to 74.5 %). CONCLUSIONS: An additional 12-14 million US adults are eligible for diabetes screening. USPSTF 2021 criteria provide balanced sensitivity and specificity while ADA 2022 criteria maximize sensitivity. Glucose testing does not align with guidelines and disparities remain.

Estimating incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes using prevalence data: the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study.

BACKGROUND: Incidence is one of the most important epidemiologic indices in surveillance. However, determining incidence is complex and requires time-consuming cohort studies or registries with date of diagnosis. Estimating incidence from prevalence using mathematical relationships may facilitate surveillance efforts. The aim of this study was to examine whether a partial differential equation (PDE) can be used to estimate diabetes incidence from prevalence in youth. METHODS: We used age-, sex-, and race/ethnicity-specific estimates of prevalence in 2001 and 2009 as reported in the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study. Using these data, a PDE was applied to estimate the average incidence rates of type 1 and type 2 diabetes for the period between 2001 and 2009. Estimates were compared to annual incidence rates observed in SEARCH. Precision of the estimates was evaluated using 95% bootstrap confidence intervals. RESULTS: Despite the long period between prevalence measures, the estimated average incidence rates mirror the average of the observed annual incidence rates. Absolute values of the age-standardized sex- and type-specific mean relative errors are below 8%. CONCLUSIONS: Incidence of diabetes can be accurately estimated from prevalence. Since only cross-sectional prevalence data is required, employing this methodology in future studies may result in considerable cost savings.

Association of Elevated Arterial Stiffness With Cardiac Target Organ Damage and Cardiac Autonomic Neuropathy in Young Adults With Diabetes: The SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study.

OBJECTIVE: Adults with diabetes are at risk for cardiovascular (CV) events, possibly due to increased arterial stiffness (AS) and cardiac autonomic neuropathy (CAN). We sought to determine whether 1) AS is associated with cardiac target organ damage in young adults with youth-onset diabetes, 2) whether CAN is associated with AS, as one possible etiology for increased AS in this cohort, and 3) whether these relationships differ by type of diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Participants from the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study (type 1 diabetes [T1D], n = 222; type 2 diabetes [T2D], n = 177; mean age 23 years) had clinical, echocardiographic, AS, and CAN assessed. Linear regression was performed to determine whether AS was associated with cardiac changes and CAN and whether relationships differed by diabetes type. RESULTS: AS was significantly associated with cardiac structure (left ventricular mass index, P < 0.0001), systolic function (ejection fraction, P = 0.03) and diastolic function (transmitral peak early [E]/atrial [A] wave velocities ratio, P = 0.008; early [e']/atrial [a'] waves, P = 0.02) after adjustments for CV risk factors. The association between AS and CAN was not significant when other important covariates were added. These relationships were mostly similar in both T1D and T2D. CONCLUSIONS: AS is associated with cardiac changes in young adults with diabetes. CAN-induced AS does not appear to be an etiology for cardiac abnormalities in this cohort.

Medical Costs Associated With Diabetes Complications in Medicare Beneficiaries Aged 65 Years or Older With Type 1 Diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: To estimate medical costs associated with 17 diabetes complications and treatment procedures among Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years with type 1 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: With use of the 2006-2017 100% Medicare claims database for beneficiaries enrolled in fee-for-service plans and Part D, we estimated the annual cost of 17 diabetes complications and treatment procedures. Type 1 diabetes and its complications and procedures were identified using ICD-9/ICD-10, procedure, and diagnosis-related group codes. Individuals with type 1 diabetes were followed from the year when their diabetes was initially identified in Medicare (2006-2015) until death, discontinuing plan coverage, or 31 December 2017. Fixed-effects regression was used to estimate costs in the complication occurrence year and subsequent years. The cost proportion of a complication was equal to the total cost of the complication, calculated by multiplying prevalence by the per-person cost divided by the total cost for all complications. All costs were standardized to 2017 U.S. dollars. RESULTS: Our study included 114,879 people with type 1 diabetes with lengths of follow-up from 3 to 10 years. The costliest complications per person were kidney failure treated by transplant ($77,809 in the occurrence year and $13,556 in subsequent years), kidney failure treated by dialysis ($56,469 and $41,429), and neuropathy treated by lower-extremity amputation ($40,698 and $7,380). Sixteen percent of the total medical cost for diabetes complications was for treating congestive heart failure. CONCLUSIONS: Costs of diabetes complications were large and varied by complications. Our results can assist in cost-effectiveness analysis of treatments and interventions for preventing or delaying diabetes complications in Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years with type 1 diabetes.

Projections of Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes Burden in the U.S. Population Aged <20 Years Through 2060: The SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth Study.

OBJECTIVE: To project the prevalence and number of youths with diabetes and trends in racial and ethnic disparities in the U.S. through 2060. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Based on a mathematical model and data from the SEARCH for Diabetes in Youth study for calendar years 2002-2017, we projected the future prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes among youth aged <20 years while considering different scenarios of future trends in incidence. RESULTS: The number of youths with diabetes will increase from 213,000 (95% CI 209,000; 218,000) (type 1 diabetes 185,000, type 2 diabetes 28,000) in 2017 to 239,000 (95% CI 209,000; 282,000) (type 1 diabetes 191,000, type 2 diabetes 48,000) in 2060 if the incidence remains constant as observed in 2017. Corresponding relative increases were 3% (95% CI -9%; 21%) for type 1 diabetes and 69% (95% CI 43%; 109%) for type 2 diabetes. Assuming that increasing trends in incidence observed between 2002 and 2017 continue, the projected number of youths with diabetes will be 526,000 (95% CI 335,000; 893,000) (type 1 diabetes 306,000, type 2 diabetes 220,000). Corresponding relative increases would be 65% (95% CI 12%; 158%) for type 1 diabetes and 673% (95% CI 362%; 1,341%) for type 2 diabetes. In both scenarios, substantial widening of racial and ethnic disparities in type 2 diabetes prevalence are expected, with the highest prevalence among non-Hispanic Black youth. CONCLUSIONS: The number of youths with diabetes in the U.S. is likely to substantially increase in future decades, which emphasizes the need for prevention to attenuate this trend.